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Comptroller William C. Thompson, Jr.
 
 
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PR04-07-043
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THOMPSON: FISCAL YEAR ’05 BUDGET IN BALANCE, YET CHALLENGES ARE AHEAD

View Report to Financial Control Board(pdf)
View Comptroller Thompson’s Testimony (pdf)

New York City Comptroller William C. Thompson, Jr. today reported to the Financial Control Board that the City’s $47.8 billion Fiscal Year 2005 budget is likely to end in balance, although the City faces multi-billion dollar deficits in Fiscal Years 2006 to 2008.

“The City’s budget condition is healthier than it was two years ago,” Thompson said. “Nevertheless, the City must take immediate action to chart a prudent and responsible course to avert significant fiscal challenges in the future.”

According to Thompson, the City’s revenue and expenditure projections are “reasonable” estimates and the level of reserves available to the City appear to be sufficient to offset any risks previously identified by Thompson’s office. However, the out-years of the Financial Plan contain multi-billion dollar deficits - $3.7 billion in FY 2006, $4.5 billion in FY 2007, and $3.7 billion in FY 2008 – because the City’s expenses continue to outpace the growth of its revenues.

To achieve balance in the FY 2005 budget, the City is using $3 billion in non-recurring resources. These include $1.9 billion in rolled-over budget surplus from FY 2004, an expected lump-sum payment of $690 million from the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey as a result of a new lease agreement for City airports, a $502 million reimbursement to the City for Municipal Assistance Corporation debt service, and $150 million from the Battery Park City Authority for the sale of City-owned properties. 

Thompson cautioned that the reliance on these non-recurring resources will spur greater challenges ahead.

“To overcome these challenges, the City must devise a long-term financial plan that includes recurring savings and stable growth in revenues,” he said. “The City has taken an important step in this regard by re-establishing a Budget Stabilization Account (BSA) for FY 2006.  However, the BSA contains just $220 million, which will do little to mitigate the projected FY 2006 budget deficit.  

“For the BSA to serve as an effective means of balancing the FY 2006 budget, the City should increase the funds in the BSA throughout FY 2005,” he said.

Thompson forecasts tax revenues to grow by 12.1 percent over the financial plan period.  That growth is significantly higher than the 7.6 percent growth in expenditures. But tax revenues account for only about 60 percent of the funds necessary to support City spending.

“Since non-tax revenues, such as federal and state aid, will likely remain unchanged over the term of the Financial Plan, the City will be confronted with persistent budget gaps despite a stabilized economic outlook,” Thompson said.

The Comptroller also encouraged the City to address fluctuations in the City’s pension fund contributions.

“The value of assets invested in the City’s pension funds tracks yearly changes in the financial markets,” Thompson said. “As a result, the high level of market volatility over the past decade has resulted in significant fluctuations in the level of annual pension contributions.  Adjusting the method by which the City recognizes gains and losses in its pension investments may reduce its exposure to this market volatility.  This adjustment is especially important because pension expenses tend to increase when City revenues decline.”

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